Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233648           4          13          63          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000928784           1          19          52          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   4.00000e-07           1           3          77          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.00        9.00       63.75       22.25        3.00     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8