Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230720           4          19          57          18           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000885165           1          33          54          12           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   3.85000e-07           1           4          77          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.75       15.00       63.25       18.50        1.50     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8