Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225797           5          40          45          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819915           7          46          39           8           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   2.91000e-07           2          22          68           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             5.00       39.50       47.25        8.25        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5