Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224991           6          45          44           5           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000804950          11          45          39           5           0        B8.6
GOES Xray  =   2.67000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             6.25       42.75       44.25        6.75        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6