Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216678          26          55          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000708658          27          48          22           3           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.10000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                            16.25       51.50       28.75        3.50        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4