Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218024          23          52          24           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000707203          27          48          22           3           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.37000e-07           7          65          27           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            16.25       54.75       26.75        2.25        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8