Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225215           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000793857          14          46          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.65000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             5.50       33.75       51.25        9.25        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)