Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227789           3          31          56          10           0        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000846541           5          52          36           7           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   3.03000e-07           3          13          74          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             2.75       25.00       58.50       13.25        0.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B8.2