Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229982           1          22          58          17           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000924845           2          21          50          25           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.67000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.25       20.00       59.50       18.00        1.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7