Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231957           3          16          57          22           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947874           1          16          56          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.01000e-07           3          17          71           9           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.00       15.25       60.00       20.00        1.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2