Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234600           5          11          59          22           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979956           4          14          56          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.39000e-07           3           5          77          15           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             3.25        9.75       62.75       21.50        2.75     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      M2.2