Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236977           2          12          60          21           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101807           2          13          66          16           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   4.09000e-07           1           1          80          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.25        9.00       66.25       20.50        3.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7