Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238473           2           5          70          17           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104000           3          12          61          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   3.73000e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.75        5.50       67.00       21.00        4.75     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1