Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236449           2          14          60          20           4        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102690           2          15          62          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.63000e-07           2           5          74          19           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.00        8.75       63.50       22.00        3.75     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6