Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242528           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105793           3           4          68          17           8        C3.9
GOES Xray  =   6.17000e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.5
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.00        1.50       64.25       27.75        5.50     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      M6.5