Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236908           2          12          62          19           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971691           3          17          54          22           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   5.44000e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.75        7.50       61.25       25.25        4.25     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3