Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228862           2          23          65           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878091           3          39          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.37000e-07           3           6          75          16           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             2.25       18.00       63.25       15.25        1.25     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9