Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228439           3          26          61          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000880498           1          37          50          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   3.06000e-07           4          11          76           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.25       21.50       60.75       14.00        0.50     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2