Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228540           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000857398           7          51          35           7           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   3.05000e-07           3          12          75          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             4.25       25.75       56.50       13.00        0.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5