Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226519           3          37          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000813490          11          45          37           7           0        B7.5
GOES Xray  =   2.64000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             4.75       30.50       51.25       13.00        0.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3