Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224553           5          49          42           4           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000767504          14          43          35           8           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   2.59000e-07           1          32          60           7           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             5.75       35.75       49.50        8.75        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1