Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226198           4          36          46          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817490           9          43          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   3.77000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             4.25       25.25       56.25       14.00        0.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0