Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233606           4          15          59          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000845500           6          52          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   5.42000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.50       18.50       58.25       18.25        1.50     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5