Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240917           1           6          64          23           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000956531           3          16          54          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.96000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        8.00       59.00       27.75        4.00     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.8