Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239911           1           6          67          21           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105755           3           4          66          18           9        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   5.61000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.00        3.50       66.00       24.00        5.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0