Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243750           1           1          63          33           2        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114216           1           4          63          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   6.62000e-07           1           0          60          32           7        C8.4
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.50        3.00       60.00       32.50        4.00     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2