Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242915           1           0          66          29           4        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113812           1           4          62          30           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   6.24000e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             0.25        2.75       65.50       28.50        3.00     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4