Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246495           1           3          52          40           4        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121605           1           3          63          30           3        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   6.41000e-07           1           0          65          29           5        C6.8
est. ISN   =       101.000           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             0.50        2.00       62.00       31.25        4.25     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6