Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247541           1           4          51          39           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123602           2           2          64          29           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   6.46000e-07           1           0          63          30           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.00        4.25       59.00       30.75        4.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M5.7