Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242421           1           1          61          31           6        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117970           1           1          64          31           3        C5.1
GOES Xray  =   5.24000e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       80.0000           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        1.50       63.50       30.00        4.00     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6