Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241506           1           3          63          27           6        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116783           1           2          63          30           4        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.10000e-07           2           0          65          32           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.00        2.75       61.25       31.25        3.75     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4