Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241408           1           3          62          27           7        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114345           1           4          62          29           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   5.27000e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             0.50        3.25       62.25       29.50        4.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4