Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240727           1           5          63          25           6        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115011           1           3          67          25           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.79000e-07           3           1          69          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.25        4.75       64.50       26.00        3.50     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6