Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240170           1           6          64          22           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114889           1           3          66          27           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.02000e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       80.0000           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        3.50       64.25       27.50        3.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9