Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238653           2           4          72          17           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112447           2           5          62          29           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   5.14000e-07           2           0          63          33           2        C6.1
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        4.50       64.00       26.75        3.00     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0