Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243018           1           0          67          28           4        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119147           1           1          61          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   6.21000e-07           1           0          66          29           4        C6.4
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             0.75        0.75       63.25       31.00        4.25     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      M3.9