Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243253           1           0          66          29           4        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119647           1           3          62          32           2        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   5.75000e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.3
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             0.50        1.00       67.75       27.75        3.00     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0