Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237745           1           7          65          21           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113063           1           5          62          29           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   6.21000e-07           1           0          66          29           4        C6.4
est. ISN   =       113.000           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.50        3.00       62.50       28.75        5.25     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      X1.2