Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237402           2           9          65          20           4        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113821           1           4          63          29           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.51000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.7
est. ISN   =       135.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        3.50       63.00       28.50        4.50     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3