Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237654           1           7          66          22           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114513           1           4          63          29           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.87000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       120.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.25        3.00       62.50       30.00        4.25     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M3.2