Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239372           1           4          73          17           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120138           2           3          61          32           2        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   6.05000e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.75        1.75       66.50       27.25        3.75     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0