Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242168           1           2          60          31           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00125405           2           2          64          28           4        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   5.04000e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.25        1.75       61.00       31.75        4.25     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C9.9