Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242079           1           2          63          28           6        C5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124330           2           2          64          28           4        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   4.90000e-07           3           1          63          32           1        C5.5
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.50        3.50       61.25       30.25        3.50     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9