Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243124           1           0          67          28           4        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118492           1           1          63          32           3        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   6.51000e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             0.50        1.50       63.00       30.75        4.25     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9