Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233573           3          15          60          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106798           3           4          70          18           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   3.68000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.00        8.00       67.00       20.50        2.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1