Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233251           2          17          62          17           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106008           2           4          69          17           8        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   3.67000e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50        9.50       66.50       18.50        3.00     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8