Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225988           5          38          46          11           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000950737           2          15          53          27           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   2.30000e-07           4          37          50           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       33.0000           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             4.50       34.50       45.25       15.00        0.75     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0