Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226061           4          36          48          12           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000956545           3          16          54          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.17000e-07           2          44          48           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.50       33.00       50.00       12.25        1.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B6.6