Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227699           3          34          53          10           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000974904           3          17          56          20           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   2.70000e-07           1          34          59           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.00       25.50       57.75       13.50        1.25     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8