Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228205           3          33          56           8           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000988195           3          13          61          18           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.86000e-07           2          24          67           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.00       24.50       61.00       10.00        1.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5